MACHINE LEARNING TO CREATE DECISION TREE MODEL TO PREDICT OUTCOME OF ENTERPRENEURSHIP PSYCHOLOGICAL READINESS (EPR)
Abstract
This study aims to create a decision tree model using machine learning to predict psychological readiness for entrepreneurship in college graduates. This research was conducted through several stages of research. In the early stages, a survey was conducted on 700 students from several universities in Riau aged between 17-25 years. The survey was conducted using the Entrepreneur Psychology Readiness (EPR) instrument. Furthermore, the survey data was validated and obtained 604 valid data to be used in forming machine learning models The urgency of this research is to find a number of decision rules from the best decision tree model to be used in building AI-based counseling applications in measuring entrepreneurial psychology readiness for college graduates. In this research, the decision tree model that is formed is divided into 2 models, namely: decision tree with pruning model and decision tree with unpruning. The pruning decision tree model produces 180 decision rules, while the unpruning model produces 121 decision rules. Good accuracy results are obtained in the pruned decision tree, which is above 99% in the use training set mode, and 82.87% in the percentage split mode. Meanwhile, the accuracy results on the unpruned decision tree are 90.18% with the use training set mode test, and 80.38% in the percentage split mode. The decision tree model with pruning technique has better performance than the unpruning decision tree model.
Downloads
References
S. Farradinna and T. N. Fadhlia, “Entrepreneurial personality in predicting self-regulation on small and medium business entrepreneurs in pekanbaru, riau, indonesia,” J. Mgt. Mkt. Rev., vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 34–39, 2018.
S. Farradinna, T. N. Fadhlia, and D. Azmansyah, “Psychological resilience predicted by personality traits, locus of control and self-regulation of young entrepreneurs in Pekanbaru,” Glob. J. Bus. Soc. Sci. Rev., vol. 7, no. 1, p. 1, 2019.
W. Rokhman and F. Ahamed, “The role of social and psychological factors on entrepreneurial intention among Islamic college students in Indonesia,” Entrep. Bus. Econ. Rev., vol. 3, no. 1, p. 30, 2015.
C. Xu and Z. Zhang, “The Effect of Law Students in Entrepreneurial Psychology Under the Artificial Intelligence Technology,” Front. Psychol., vol. 12, p. 731713, 2021.
T. Goto, C. A. Camargo, M. K. Faridi, R. J. Freishtat, and K. Hasegawa, “Machine learning–based prediction of clinical outcomes for children during emergency department triage,” JAMA Netw. open, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. e186937–e186937, 2019.
W. Bleidorn and C. J. Hopwood, “Using machine learning to advance personality assessment and theory,” Personal. Soc. Psychol. Rev., vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 190–203, 2019.
R. Alharthi, B. Guthier, and A. El Saddik, “Recognizing human needs during critical events using machine learning powered psychology-based framework,” IEEE Access, vol. 6, pp. 58737–58753, 2018.
M. Savci, A. Tekin, and J. D. Elhai, “Prediction of problematic social media use (PSU) using machine learning approaches,” Curr. Psychol., pp. 1–10, 2020.
J. D. Elhai and C. Montag, “The compatibility of theoretical frameworks with machine learning analyses in psychological research,” Curr. Opin. Psychol., vol. 36, pp. 83–88, 2020.
J. D. Elhai, H. Yang, D. Rozgonjuk, and C. Montag, “Using machine learning to model problematic smartphone use severity: The significant role of fear of missing out,” Addict. Behav., vol. 103, p. 106261, 2020.
M. H. Afzali et al., “Machine‐learning prediction of adolescent alcohol use: A cross‐study, cross‐cultural validation,” Addiction, vol. 114, no. 4, pp. 662–671, 2019.
R. Dave, K. Sargeant, M. Vanamala, and N. Seliya, “Review on Psychology Research Based on Artificial Intelligence Methodologies,” J. Comput. Commun., vol. 10, no. 5, pp. 113–130, 2022.
R. Jacobucci, A. K. Littlefield, A. J. Millner, E. Kleiman, and D. Steinley, “Pairing machine learning and clinical psychology: how you evaluate predictive performance matters,” 2020.
D. B. Dwyer, P. Falkai, and N. Koutsouleris, “Machine learning approaches for clinical psychology and psychiatry,” Annu. Rev. Clin. Psychol., vol. 14, pp. 91–118, 2018.
A. Lavecchia, “Machine-learning approaches in drug discovery: methods and applications,” Drug Discov. Today, vol. 20, no. 3, pp. 318–331, 2015.
Z.-H. Zhou, Machine learning. Springer Nature, 2021.
B. Mahesh, “Machine learning algorithms-a review,” Int. J. Sci. Res. (IJSR).[Internet], vol. 9, pp. 381–386, 2020.
A. Venkatasubramaniam, J. Wolfson, N. Mitchell, T. Barnes, M. JaKa, and S. French, “Decision trees in epidemiological research,” Emerg. Themes Epidemiol., vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 1–12, 2017.
F. Y. Pamuji and V. P. Ramadhan, “Komparasi Algoritma Random Forest dan Decision Tree untuk Memprediksi Keberhasilan Immunotheraphy,” J. Teknol. dan Manaj. Inform., vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 46–50, 2021.
U. I. Lestari, A. Y. Nadhiroh, and C. Novia, “Penerapan Metode K-Nearest Neighbor Untuk Sistem Pendukung Keputusan Identifikasi Penyakit Diabetes Melitus,” JATISI (Jurnal Tek. Inform. dan Sist. Informasi), vol. 8, no. 4, pp. 2071–2082, 2021.
E. Muningsih, “Kombinasi Metode K-Means Dan Decision Tree Dengan Perbandingan Kriteria Dan Split Data,” J. Teknoinfo, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 113–118, 2022.
A. R. Rabbani, M. Nasrun, and C. Setianingsih, “Perancangan Dan Implementasi Tes Psikologi Myers-briggs Type Indicator Berbasis Komputer Dengan Metode Naï ve Bayes Sebagai Pengambilan Keputusan,” eProceedings Eng., vol. 7, no. 1, 2020.
S. Syamsu, M. Muhajirin, and N. S. Wijaya, “Rules Generation Untuk Klasifikasi Data Bakat dan Minat Berdasarkan Rumpun Ilmu Dengan Decision Tree,” Inspir. J. Teknol. Inf. dan Komun., vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 40–51, 2019.
M. A. Abdillah, A. Setyanto, and S. Sudarmawan, “Implementasi Decision Tree Algoritma C4. 5 Untuk Memprediksi Kesuksesan Pendidikan Karakter,” Respati, vol. 15, no. 2, pp. 59–69, 2020.
Copyright (c) 2023 Nesi Syafitri, Syarifah Farradinna, Wella Jayanti, Yudhi Arta
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.